AGP Executive Report

US Sanctions: Trump signed an order waiving new Russia-related sanctions and tariffs, citing US national interests. The move followed a diesel-supply deal with Moscow and spares major buyers such as India and China from immediate penalties. War in Ukraine: Russian strikes hit nine regions, knocking out power for hundreds of thousands and injuring at least 15 people. Moscow says it is preparing to intensify attacks on Ukraine’s energy system ahead of winter. Occupied Oleshky: Residents face acute shortages of food, medicine, water and heat, with fewer than 2,000 people reportedly trapped in the city. Pope Leo urged Putin to allow a humanitarian truce. State Control: Putin ordered strategic companies to coordinate with Russian authorities over foreign-law requirements and transferred several foreign firms’ assets to temporary management. Digital Front: Ukrainian attacks damaged three of Yandex’s five major data centers, disrupting services including payments, navigation and ride-hailing.

War in Ukraine: Russian drone and missile strikes killed at least three people and knocked out power to more than a million, as attacks hit civilian sites and energy infrastructure. The UN says Russian attacks killed or injured 2,433 civilians in Ukraine in September. Drone Strikes Inside Russia: A drone attack sparked a fire at an industrial facility in the Surgut region, about 3,000 kilometres from Ukraine; authorities have not confirmed the target. Diesel Deal: Russia says its diesel supplies can meet domestic demand and support exports after the US eased trade restrictions. Ukraine’s president warned the deal could pave the way for broader sanctions relief. Kamchatka Earthquake: A magnitude 6.9 quake struck the peninsula; no tsunami was expected and no casualties or damage were immediately reported. Humanitarian Appeal: Pope Leo urged Vladimir Putin to allow food and medical aid into occupied Oleshky and permit civilians to leave safely. Regional Security: Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov warned that extremist groups in Afghanistan could use the country as a base to threaten Central Asia and Russia.

War and Energy: Ukraine resumed strikes on Russian refineries after accusing Moscow of continuing attacks on Ukrainian energy sites despite a brief truce. A drone strike sparked a fire at the Ryazan refinery; Kyiv also claimed it destroyed four Russian Su-34 bombers and damaged two at an airfield. Russian strikes left parts of Kyiv and the Volyn region without power. U.S. President Donald Trump condemned Ukraine’s refinery attacks as a “disgrace.” Oil and Sanctions: The U.S. extended a sanctions waiver for Lukoil’s overseas operations until April 2027 as Russia prepares to resume diesel exports under a deal with Trump. Analysts say the shipments are unlikely to ease tight global fuel markets. Germany rejected a U.S. proposal to control Russian assets frozen in Europe, insisting decisions must remain with the EU. Press Freedom: Russia detained a Japanese journalist on espionage charges and arrested Novaya Gazeta editor Sergei Sokolov, adding to pressure on independent media. Economy: The Bank of Russia is expected to hold its key rate at 14% this month as inflation picks up; investment growth has only partly made up for an earlier decline.

War in Ukraine: Russia launched waves of drones and missiles, killing at least 10 people and injuring dozens, Ukrainian officials said. Zelensky reported nearly 1,000 drones in 24 hours and warned that a shortage of Patriot interceptors is leaving cities more exposed. Retaliation: Zelensky says Ukraine is resuming strikes on Russian oil refineries after Russia continued attacks during a US-proposed energy pause. Kyiv also claims a Neptune missile strike destroyed four Russian Su-34 bombers and damaged two at an airbase. Military buildup: Satellite imagery shows Russia rapidly constructing a drone-launch base in Rostov region, with eight pads that could support attacks by faster jet-powered drones. Detentions: Russia arrested a Swedish man accused of fighting for Ukraine and plotting attacks on military sites. Authorities also detained a Japanese journalist on espionage suspicions and questioned Novaya Gazeta editor Sergei Sokolov. Sanctions and diplomacy: Washington reportedly proposed placing some frozen Russian assets under US oversight to revive peace talks; European leaders rejected the idea. Russia says diesel exports are reaching global markets, though analysts expect little impact on supply.

War in Ukraine: Russian missile and drone strikes hit Kyiv and other cities, targeting energy infrastructure; Ukrainian officials said about 600,000 people lost power and civilians were killed. Moscow and Kyiv traded accusations over a proposed energy truce. US-Russia Ties: Washington reportedly proposed moving some frozen Russian assets into a US-supervised fund to revive peace talks. European officials rejected the idea. Trump’s Russian diesel deal also drew criticism from Kyiv and US lawmakers, while Moscow said supply contracts could be signed soon. Military Communications: Kyiv said Starlink restrictions disrupted drone operations during Russian attacks. Elon Musk said limits on Starshield are set by the US government. Diplomacy: Russian and Chinese foreign ministers met in Baku ahead of next month’s APEC summit, pledging closer coordination. Moscow also pursued security ties with Afghanistan and Pakistan. Russia-Japan Tensions: A Moscow court ordered a Japanese journalist held for two months on espionage suspicions; Tokyo protested and sought access.

Ukraine War: Russian missile and drone strikes hit energy infrastructure in Kyiv and Kharkiv, killing at least three people in Kyiv and leaving 600,000 without electricity, Ukrainian officials said. President Volodymyr Zelensky accused Moscow of defying Donald Trump’s push for an energy truce. Diesel Deal: Trump’s agreement with Vladimir Putin to allow Russian diesel sales is drawing bipartisan criticism in the US and warnings from Italy’s prime minister that it could bring Moscow fresh revenue and weaken sanctions. Analysts say it is unlikely to lower fuel prices much. Japan Tensions: Tokyo protested Russia’s arrest of a Japanese journalist on suspicion of spying, demanding an explanation, consular access and fair treatment. Cybersecurity: Putin called for tighter coordination among security agencies, telecom firms and banks to strengthen Russia’s digital defenses amid rising cyber threats.

Kyiv Strikes: Russian ballistic missiles hit the capital’s CHP-4 power plant and a residential building, killing at least two and injuring about 20, Mayor Vitali Klitschko said. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Ukraine received no advance warning from allies and accused Moscow of striking despite talk of an energy ceasefire. Black Sea Tensions: Drone attacks hit two commercial ships off Bulgaria, sinking one; some sailors were reported missing. Bulgaria will summon Russia’s ambassador, though its prime minister said there was no clear evidence identifying the attackers. Russia-US Diesel Deal: A bipartisan group of US senators urged President Donald Trump to reverse the deal easing restrictions on Russian diesel exports, calling it unlawful and a boost to Moscow. Japan-Russia Row: Moscow says journalist Yuki Imai was detained on Sakhalin on suspicion of espionage. Tokyo is seeking information and fair treatment. Drone Attack in Russia: A fire broke out near a metallurgical plant in Balakovo after a reported Ukrainian drone strike; the regional governor said one person was killed.

War in Ukraine: Russian strikes continued despite President Donald Trump’s claimed energy ceasefire. Kyiv says Moscow hit six energy sites, while a Russian drone attack on an educational building in Rivne injured at least 20 people. Diesel Deal: Trump says the US is still sharing intelligence with Ukraine, even as he defends a deal lifting sanctions on Russian diesel exports. Bipartisan senators say the move may break US law; critics warn it could help fund Russia’s war. Black Sea Attacks: Drone strikes sank a merchant ship off Bulgaria, with 11 sailors missing. Bulgarian officials suspect Russian involvement but say they have no clear evidence. Russia-Japan Tensions: Russia’s FSB says it arrested a Japanese journalist on Sakhalin on suspicion of spying; Japan is checking the report. Shadow Fleet: France seized a tanker suspected of helping Russia evade sanctions. Moscow called the move “piracy.”

Energy Truce: Russia continued striking Ukrainian energy sites after Donald Trump declared an immediate ceasefire, including an attack on a Kharkiv facility. Kyiv says at least six energy targets were hit; Moscow has not confirmed the deal. Diesel Deal: Trump’s plan to ease sanctions and buy Russian diesel drew bipartisan calls in the US Senate to reverse course, with lawmakers arguing it may break federal law and fund Russia’s war. Energy experts say shifting supply may do little to lower prices. Sanctions and Shipping: The EU sanctioned nearly 1,600 Russian people and companies linked to the arms industry. France also intercepted and boarded a tanker suspected of carrying sanctioned Russian fuel for Moscow’s shadow fleet. North Korea Ties: Moscow and Pyongyang agreed to expand disaster-management cooperation through 2029, including training and technical exchanges.

Ukraine War: Russian strikes continued despite President Donald Trump’s announced energy truce, which Moscow has not confirmed. Monday’s attacks killed one person in Dnipro and wounded civilians in Kyiv and Kharkiv; Russian forces also hit Ukrainian gas infrastructure. Diesel Deal: Trump defended plans to import Russian diesel, saying they would help Americans as fuel prices rise. Seven senators from both parties urged him to reverse course, arguing the move may violate a 2022 law restricting Russian energy imports. EU Sanctions: The bloc approved nearly 1,600 new listings targeting Russia’s military-industrial supply chain, including missile and drone producers, and people involved in elections in occupied Ukrainian territories. Russia’s Digital Infrastructure: Ukrainian drone strikes hit three Yandex data centers, shutting down two and damaging a third; automated traffic from the tech giant’s network plunged. NATO Tensions: The alliance’s top military commander warned that any Russian attack on a member would trigger a broad response against the forces and systems supporting it.

Ceasefire in Doubt: Trump said Russia and Ukraine had agreed to stop attacks on energy infrastructure, but Moscow has not confirmed the deal. Zelenskyy said Russian strikes hit power facilities in Kyiv and Kharkiv; a missile strike near Kharkiv killed three people and injured 22. Diesel Deal Under Fire: Trump’s plan to ease sanctions and allow Russian diesel imports has drawn bipartisan opposition in the US Senate. Seven senators say it conflicts with a 2022 law and want the administration to reverse course; Republican Thom Tillis says Trump may be breaking the law. Inside Russia: Ukrainian drone strikes damaged a Yandex data centre in the Vladimir region, disrupting services before operations began to resume. Russian authorities also reported power cuts and casualties in drone attacks. Brexit Claim: UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham says advisers told him Russia interfered in the 2016 referendum, though he has not publicly detailed the basis for the claim.

Energy Ceasefire: Donald Trump says Russia and Ukraine agreed to an immediate halt to attacks on energy sites, but offered no terms. Volodymyr Zelenskyy said the deal was news to him, while saying Ukraine would support a reciprocal truce and awaiting details. Russian Strikes: Russian attacks continued on Sunday: a guided-bomb strike in Kharkiv killed a woman and injured eight, and strikes on Sloviansk and nearby Kramatorsk injured nine. An attack on a Kyiv energy facility triggered emergency outages across four districts. Diesel Deal: Trump’s move to ease sanctions for Russian diesel supplies has widened rifts with Kyiv and European allies. Republican Senator Thom Tillis questioned its legality, while analysts say the shipments are unlikely to significantly lower fuel prices. Yandex Disruption: A third reported Ukrainian drone attack on a Yandex data centre in Russia has disrupted cloud services, according to the company and network monitors.

Deadly Strikes: Russian attacks killed at least 20 people, including three children, in Zaporizhzhia, and injured four in overnight drone strikes on Dnipro, including two children. Ukrainian officials say strikes also hit Kyiv and other regions. Diesel Deal: After Donald Trump announced a deal to import Russian diesel and ease sanctions, Moscow partially lifted its export ban. Kyiv says the move will help fund Russia’s war; EU officials say sanctions pressure should remain. Political Fallout: Trump called for Ukraine to replace Volodymyr Zelenskyy and urged Kyiv to stop striking Russian oil refineries. A US Republican lawmaker plans a bill to block Russian oil purchases. Attacks Inside Russia: Russian officials said Ukrainian drones hit the Rostov region, damaging homes and two ships and injuring six people; Moscow’s mayor said air defenses intercepted dozens of drones near the capital.

Ukraine War: Russian strikes on Zaporizhzhia killed 17 people, including three children, and wounded 18, Ukrainian authorities said. Attacks also hit Kyiv, causing power and water disruptions. Diesel Deal: Trump says Russia will supply diesel to the US and global markets after Washington temporarily eased sanctions. Zelenskyy says the move will fund Moscow’s war; the UK and EU say they will maintain pressure on Russia. Moscow Drone Alert: Flight disruptions reportedly forced a presidential aircraft returning from Turkmenistan to divert from Moscow to St. Petersburg, though it is unclear whether Putin was aboard. Peace Talks: Putin told Trump that alleged Ukrainian drone attacks had undermined prospects for an immediate restart of negotiations, according to the Kremlin; the claims were not independently verified. Putin also conveyed Iran’s position on ending its conflict with the US.

Diesel Deal: Trump says Russia will supply diesel to the US and global markets, with Washington temporarily easing sanctions on Russian fuel through April 2027. Zelensky condemned the move, warning the revenue could help fund Moscow’s war. Ukraine War: Putin told Trump a quick return to peace talks is unlikely, blaming Ukrainian drone attacks. Russian strikes killed dozens in Ukraine, including at least 30 in a strike near buses in Kramatorsk, while Ukraine targeted Russian refineries and data centers. A fire was reported at an oil-loading terminal in Rostov-on-Don after a suspected drone strike. Occupied Kharkiv: Ukraine’s human rights ombudsman says Russian forces took 25 residents, including children, from occupied territory; their whereabouts are unknown. Military Spending: Russia’s war budget is projected to reach a record $200 billion this year, about 40% above the original plan.

War in Ukraine: Russian strikes killed two people on Friday, after attacks claimed more than 50 lives in three days. A guided bomb near buses in Kramatorsk killed at least 30, while attacks on energy infrastructure worsened blackouts in Kyiv. Strikes Inside Russia: Ukrainian drones hit two Yandex data centers in two days, disrupting services, and targeted oil refineries in Omsk and Ukhta. Ceasefire Talks: Moscow is reportedly seeking US sanctions relief in exchange for a possible pause in attacks on energy infrastructure, and wants a Black Sea ceasefire included. Putin and Iran: Putin told President Masoud Pezeshkian Russia would do what it could to help end the Iran conflict; the leaders also discussed economic ties. Russian Economy: Sberbank warned that overdue corporate loans are rising as high interest rates and slow growth strain businesses. Plague Inquiry: A lab worker’s death in Siberia remains unexplained; Russian authorities say she died of pneumonia, and no plague link has been established. Montenegro Arrests: Russian pro-war blogger Mikhail Zvinchuk, founder of the Rybar channel, was detained with associates in a probe into alleged destabilization activity.